YNAO OpenIR  > 太阳物理研究组
交通事故发生受太阳活动影响吗?
冯雯1; 李可军2,3
Source Publication天文研究与技术(Astronomical Research & Technology)
2014-04
Volume11Issue:2Pages:192-200
DOI10.14005/j.cnki.issn1672-7673.2014.02.012
ClassificationX951
Contribution Rank第2完成单位
Indexed ByCSCD
Keyword日地关系 交通事故 太阳活动 相关分析
Abstract

根据1951-2009年59年间的中国交通事故起数和10 cm太阳射电流量的有关资料,用经验模式分解方法、交叉小波方法、相关分析方法等数学手段对二者之间的关系进行了分析研究。结果表明:中国交通事故的发生与太阳活动的11年周期活动存在具有统计意义的正相关关系,交通事故的发生受太阳活动的影响。最后对这种影响进行了解释。

Other Abstract
In recent years, with the development of economy and transportation activities in China the traffic-accident rate in China is rapidly increasing. In this study we investigate statistical correlations between traffic-accident occurrences and solar activities. We base our study on the data of annual-average solar 10cm radio fluxes and annual numbers of traffic accidents in China from 1951 to 2009. We use statistical techniques such as the empirical mode decomposition analysis, periodicity analysis, auto-correlation analysis, and cross-correlation analysis. Our results show that occurrences of traffic accidents are statistically significantly correlated with the 11 -year cycles of solar activities. By recognizing that traffic accidents are not only closely related to human activities but also affected by solar activities,we discuss possible causes of the statistical correlations.
Funding Project国家自然科学基金[11273057] ; 国家自然科学基金[11221063] ; 国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)[2012CB957801] ; 国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)[2011CB811406]
Funding Organization国家自然科学基金[11273057, 11221063] ; 国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)[2012CB957801, 2011CB811406]
Language中文
Subject Area天文学 ; 太阳与太阳系
MOST Discipline Catalogue理学 ; 理学::天文学
ISSN1672-7673
CSCD IDCSCD:5112467
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[CSCD]   [CSCD Record]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/6501
Collection太阳物理研究组
Corresponding Author李可军
Affiliation1.昆明理工大学分析测试中心, 云南, 昆明, 650093
2.中国科学院云南天文台,, 云南, 昆明, 650011
3.中国科学院太阳活动重点实验室(国家天文台), 北京, 100012
Corresponding Author AffilicationYunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
冯雯,李可军. 交通事故发生受太阳活动影响吗?[J]. 天文研究与技术(Astronomical Research & Technology),2014,11(2):192-200.
APA 冯雯,&李可军.(2014).交通事故发生受太阳活动影响吗?.天文研究与技术(Astronomical Research & Technology),11(2),192-200.
MLA 冯雯,et al."交通事故发生受太阳活动影响吗?".天文研究与技术(Astronomical Research & Technology) 11.2(2014):192-200.
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