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Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values
Li KJ(李可军)1,2; Gu XM(顾啸马)1,3; Li, KJ
Source PublicationASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
1999-08
Volume348Issue:3Pages:L59-L61
Contribution Rank第1完成单位
Indexed BySCI
KeywordSun : Sunspots Sun : Activity
AbstractIn this paper, we use a function similar to the Planck function to reproduce the Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values of the time January 1958 to December 1998 and then give the predicted values after the year 1998. This kind of the values is found to be anticorrelated with sunspot numbers at a very high level when the value series has a backward phase shift of 7 months. An attempt to predict solar activity of solar cycle 23 has been done. For solar cycle 23, we predict that solar activity should peak at the year 2001.7 with a maximum amplitude of about 151.1 (in terms of smoothed monthly mean sunspot number).
Language英语
Subject AreaAstronomy & Astrophysics
SubtypeLetter
ISSN0004-6361
URL查看原文
WOS IDWOS:000082574500002
WOS Research AreaAstronomy & Astrophysics
WOS SubjectAstronomy & Astrophysics
WOS KeywordSUNSPOT CYCLE-23 ; MAXIMUM ; SIZE
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Cited Times:7[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/6030
Collection太阳物理研究组
Corresponding AuthorLi, KJ
Affiliation1.Yunnan Observatory, CAS, 650011 Kunming, P.R. China
2.National Astronomical Observatories, CAS
3.United Laboratory of Optical Astronomy, CAS
First Author AffilicationYunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li KJ,Gu XM,Li, KJ. Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values[J]. ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,1999,348(3):L59-L61.
APA Li KJ,Gu XM,&Li, KJ.(1999).Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values.ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,348(3),L59-L61.
MLA Li KJ,et al."Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values".ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS 348.3(1999):L59-L61.
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