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Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values
Li KJ(李可军)1,2; Gu XM(顾啸马)1,3; Li, KJ
发表期刊ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
1999-08
卷号348期号:3页码:L59-L61
产权排序第1完成单位
收录类别SCI
关键词Sun : Sunspots Sun : Activity
摘要In this paper, we use a function similar to the Planck function to reproduce the Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values of the time January 1958 to December 1998 and then give the predicted values after the year 1998. This kind of the values is found to be anticorrelated with sunspot numbers at a very high level when the value series has a backward phase shift of 7 months. An attempt to predict solar activity of solar cycle 23 has been done. For solar cycle 23, we predict that solar activity should peak at the year 2001.7 with a maximum amplitude of about 151.1 (in terms of smoothed monthly mean sunspot number).
语种英语
学科领域Astronomy & Astrophysics
文章类型Letter
ISSN0004-6361
URL查看原文
WOS记录号WOS:000082574500002
WOS研究方向Astronomy & Astrophysics
WOS类目Astronomy & Astrophysics
关键词[WOS]SUNSPOT CYCLE-23 ; MAXIMUM ; SIZE
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/6030
专题太阳物理研究组
通讯作者Li, KJ
作者单位1.Yunnan Observatory, CAS, 650011 Kunming, P.R. China
2.National Astronomical Observatories, CAS
3.United Laboratory of Optical Astronomy, CAS
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Li KJ,Gu XM,Li, KJ. Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values[J]. ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,1999,348(3):L59-L61.
APA Li KJ,Gu XM,&Li, KJ.(1999).Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values.ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS,348(3),L59-L61.
MLA Li KJ,et al."Longterm prediction of solar activity using Moscow Neutron Monitor Pressure-Corrected Values".ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS 348.3(1999):L59-L61.
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